Pouria Zeraati

24, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: One point…

One point: Iraqchi's negotiations with Witkoff/Kushner are unlikely to lead anywhere. In Tehran, the decision-making system is locked up, and I heard from sources in Israel that Mojtaba either doesn't respond to messages or sends vague replies. Contacting him has become significantly harder than in previous days, which means the IRGC has control in hand. The fact that the IRGC's mouthpieces are saying Iraqchi isn't going to meet with the Americans in Pakistan is also indicative of this same state of uncertainty. These conditions will likely lead to the resumption of the next round of attacks aimed at [primarily] neutralizing countermeasures. The military transfers in recent days and the arrival of the USS George Bush in the CENTCOM command area show that the threat of attack isn't just a bluff...

https://x.com/pouriazeraati/status/2047749437154378212?s=20

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

02, August #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: One point...

One point: The timing of the next war's outbreak cannot be precisely estimated based on Trump's social media posts. Reason: Experience from the 12-day and 40-day wars. The timing of attacks depends on the "hunting moment" and an estimated 80+% probability of the "first strike" being successful. From Israel's perspective, negotiation and agreement won't lead anywhere until this regime is placed in its weakest position. Trump and Bibi are fully coordinated with each other.

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Pouria Zeraati

01, August #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The regime has been evacuating...

Important/ The regime has been evacuating passenger planes from Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport since last night.

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Pouria Zeraati

31, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Hamas has endorsed the statement...

Important/ Hamas has endorsed the statement of the International Peace for Gaza Group and announced that it will surrender its weapons. This marks another major defeat for the regime on the eve of the next round of all-out attacks by the United States and Israel against the Islamic Republic on Iranian soil. American sources say that the IRGC had advised the Hamas delegation, which had traveled to Iran for Ayatollah Khamenei's funeral ceremony, not to rush into signing the agreement in the morning and to buy time. However, Hamas ultimately decided not to follow the Islamic Republic's advice and to pursue its own path.

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Pouria Zeraati

30, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Sounds of explosions...

Important/ Sounds of explosions at several points in southern Iran, including Ahvaz. U.S. attacks have resumed.

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Pouria Zeraati

29, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Trump said attacks against the IRI...

Important/ Trump said attacks against the IRI will happen: 'We're going to hit them really hard. Now I'm saying this with certainty, because practically, they can't do much about it. The group we used to deal with is different from the one we're dealing with now. They even apologized, but well… we need to teach them a little lesson.'

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Pouria Zeraati

27, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Despite Trump's warning...

Despite Trump's warning/ IRIB: A few hours ago, six ships tried to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. An "incident" occurred for one of the ships, and the other five were also forced to turn back.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

26, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Trump's Warning Violated Again...

Trump's Warning Violated Again/ Regime's State TV: Six ships, over the past 24 hours, after receiving a warning from the IRGC, were unable to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

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Pouria Zeraati

26, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: We are trying to reach a security...

Important/ Jolani: 'We are trying to reach a security agreement with Israel through cooperation with several countries. We are not seeking conflict with Israel and have no interest in doing so.' Dust on your head, you trembling fool :)

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Pouria Zeraati

25, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: In the past 24 hours...

Important/ IRIB: In the past 24 hours, the IRGC has prevented four commercial ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz by firing warning shots at them; a complete violation of Trump's words and the warning he had issued. "We will see what will happen" …

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

24, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important...

Important/ Dozens of U.S. military transport aircraft, including C-17s and several other models, flew today from European bases toward the Middle East and continue to do so. After the ceasefire, this volume of transfers is unprecedented.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

23, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Rumors...

Important/ Rumors: Israel will participate in the next round of operations against the regime. The targets will be much broader and more intense than the twelve-day war and the thirty-three-day war. Sensitive days lie ahead…

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Pouria Zeraati

22, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: From this moment on, every time the Islamic Republic...

Important/ Trump: 'From this moment on, every time the Islamic Republic fires at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether with a missile, rocket, drone, or any other weapon, America will respond by bombing and destroying a bridge or power plant; even bridges and power plants located near Tehran or inside the capital itself.'

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Pouria Zeraati

21, July #MigrantCrisis

Pouria Zeraati: Israeli sources say that with the increased...

Important/ Israeli sources say that with the increased likelihood of resuming military conflict with the regime, the army has been placed on the highest level of full alert. The new Prime Minister of Britain has also agreed to the use of English bases by America for targeting regime positions in Iranian soil. Sensitive days lie ahead...

#MigrantCrisis

Pouria Zeraati

20, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Israeli sources...

Important/ Israeli sources: The United States has informed Israel that it intends to intensify military operations against the regime in the coming days. Israel will carry out a preemptive strike if it concludes that the regime intends to extend its attacks here as well.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

20, July #TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati: Trump insisted on staying on stage...

:))))) Trump insisted on staying on stage next to the Spanish players during the 2026 World Cup championship trophy presentation ceremony and celebrating with them. Infantino, the FIFA president, hurriedly ran towards him and asked him to leave the scene :)

#TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati

19, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: While it's been reported in the news...

While it's been reported in the news that Trump has asked Bibi that the Israelis must evacuate southern Lebanon and Syria, today it was reported that the Israeli army entered the village of "al-Samadaniyah al-Sharqiyah" in the Quneitra province in southern Syria and set up a temporary checkpoint. Israel doesn't mess around with the security of its borders with America either :)

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

18, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The IRGC has claimed that two...

Important/ The IRGC has claimed that two commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz collided with mines that the regime had planted and caught fire.

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Pouria Zeraati

18, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: America has struck another communication...

Important/ America has struck another communication bridge that the IRGC was using for transferring weapons in the east of Bandar Abbas.

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Pouria Zeraati

17, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Image of the communication route...

Important/ Image of the communication route between Bandar Abbas and Shiraz, which was targeted by US attacks an hour ago: The railway lines of Bandar Abbas, Iranshahr Airport in Sistan and Baluchestan, Ahvaz, Qeshm, and several other points were also targeted.

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Pouria Zeraati

16, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Don't separate Vance's words...

Fact: Don't separate Vance's words in the Joe Rogan podcast from Trump's policy toward Iran and the regime. This attempt to separate Vance's positions from Trump's is another misleading story; similar to how they said early in the war that Trump's goal was just regime change. Vance's statements are the summary of the sessions in the White House where Trump has the first and last word.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

15, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Trump's statements, despite often being misleading...

Trump's statements, despite often being misleading, contain important clues that allow us to somewhat guess what fate awaits Mojtaba and Vahidi and their gang; perhaps even in coordination with Qalibaf himself! 'The first group were devilish people, the second group were a bit better but had bad natures, the third group … some of them are vile. Those who are obstructing the agreement right now.'

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Pouria Zeraati

15, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The semifinal game is underway...

Important/ The semifinal game is underway, and the U.S. is simultaneously striking regime positions in southern Iran. Ahvaz was hit hard, Sistan and Baluchestan too. The regime has attacked Bahrain.

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Pouria Zeraati

14, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The only herd that's one degree...

The only herd that's one degree ahead of the trembling ones is the Houthis. The Saudis struck their airport, and these guys lobbed two rockets toward Saudi and celebrated like this :)))

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Pouria Zeraati

14, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ US official...

Important/ US official to "ABC News": Tonight's US operation against regime positions in southern Iran began two hours ago and is ongoing. The IRGC attacked Bahrain an hour ago.

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Pouria Zeraati

14, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Israeli sources...

Important/ Israeli sources: The United States is increasing preparations to resume a full-scale conflict with the regime. According to sources in contact with Washington, extensive planning is underway for a return to high-intensity warfare; a war that may begin within the next few weeks. The Israelis believe the war will happen; it's just not clear exactly when.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

13, July #TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati: Finally, the British government...

Important/ Finally, the British government announced that it will add the IRGC to the list of terrorist groups in the country.

#TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati

13, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: In addition to Ahvaz Airport...

Important/ In addition to Ahvaz Airport, Dezful's Vahdati Airbase has also been targeted. This is considered the heaviest U.S. attacks since the ceasefire.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

13, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: A senior Israeli official...

A senior Israeli official told me that the Channel 12 report about the plot to assassinate Trump during the NATO summit in Turkey is accurate.

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Pouria Zeraati

12, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ IRGC has fired missiles at the Strait of Hormuz again...

Important/ IRGC has fired missiles at the Strait of Hormuz again, Minutes ago, the sound of an explosion was heard in the area of Iranian soil, which is likely America's response.

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

10, July #TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ He probably wants to reinstate the siege...

Important/ He probably wants to reinstate the siege... Trump's post: "The Islamic Republic has asked us to continue the negotiations. We agreed to this request, but we told them very clearly and without any ambiguity that the ceasefire is over!"

#TrendShock

Pouria Zeraati

09, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ America has begun a new round of attacks...

Important/ America has begun a new round of attacks: Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Explosions heard in Kerman and Shiraz as well. Other reports of explosion sounds in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz [closer to Oman].

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

08, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important...

Important/ Trump said just minutes ago that the temporary agreement is over for him and he no longer wants to deal with the regime because they are sick people: 'From my perspective, the ceasefire is over. Talking to the Islamic Republic is a waste of time. Something's wrong with them. They're officially crazy.'

#WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati

08, July #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: They're totally losing it...

They're totally losing it :)) Today he said the regime is a cancer and it needs to be eradicated early: "These are evil and sick people and we must eliminate this cancerous tumor. You know what they do with cancer? They cut out its root right at the start." From the intensity of last night's attacks and the lifting of the oil sanctions suspension, it was clear he's lost it.

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