Mark Urban

04, May #WarSpillover

Mark Urban: Interesting gesture from US side…

Interesting gesture from US side - is this an easing of their blockade that’s meant to pave the way for Iranian acquiescence in allowing hundreds of neutral vessels to leave the Gulf? Maybe, but would undermine the IRGC ‘tollbooth’ concept for the Strait of Hormuz

https://x.com/MarkUrban01/status/2051250590991183994?s=20

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Mark Urban

30, September #WarSpillover

Mark Urban: British Prime Minister...

British Prime Minister points the finger at Iran over Fairford air base incident

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Mark Urban

11, September #WarSpillover

Mark Urban: A perfect storm building...

A perfect storm building for Saudi Arabia - and by inference its allies: - reports Houthi forces have now taken Perim island, key to the Bab el Mandeb maritime chokepoint - the Houthis say Saudi vessels will be interdicted, with major implications for oil trade - Saudi's key east-west oil pipeline reportedly knocked out - its allies in the Mecca pact (Egypt and Turkey) are not stepping in - disagreements with UAE mean support from Gulf Cooperation Council also missing

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Mark Urban

13, July #WarSpillover

Mark Urban: Situation post Iran's 11/7 attack on a Cypriot...

Situation post Iran's 11/7 attack on a Cypriot ship escalating: - Trump says US blockade of Iranian ports to resume, US to control Strait - Saudi Arabia hits Sana'a airport in Yemen, trying to stop Iranian plane landing - IRGC says 'time for restraint over' threatens Gulf states

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Mark Urban

26, June #WarSpillover

Mark Urban: A coercive act in the same week...

A coercive act in the same week that it was reported a summit aimed at reconciling with Iran will be held in Saudi Arabia. Gulf leaders will twin track it, taking steps to calm tensions, even allowing frozen Iranian assets through, while preparing for another war + lessening Hormuz dependence

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